Risk, probability
Nassim Nicholas Taleb
b. 1960
Silent evidence is the discipline: notice what the data could not have contained, and what survivorship has quietly removed from view.
Read alongside: Sense
- Start with
- The Black Swan (2007)
- Where they resist the book
- Taleb has little patience for organisational practice of any kind; his remedy is structural robustness, not attention.
Works worth the time
Antifragile · 2012
What gains from disorder rather than merely surviving it — a harder standard than resilience.
Read further
- NYU Tandon School of Engineering: Nassim Nicholas Taleb ↗
New York University
- Wikipedia: Nassim Nicholas Taleb ↗
Wikipedia
Where Taleb appears
III. SenseCritical thinking
The map is evidence about the mapmaker.
When the map no longer fits the terrain, the useful question is not which to trust but what the mismatch reveals — about the assumptions, the incentives, and the reporting line that produced the map. Silent evidence is the discipline here: notice what the data could not have contained.